TY - JOUR
T1 - Bayesian decision analysis of dam safety
AU - Karaa, Fadi
AU - Krzysztofowicz, Roman
N1 - Funding Information:
Valuable comments of Professor David B. Ashley and the assistance of Andre Toumu and Imud Ghuntozrsi n the geotechniculp art of the analysis are grutef&lly acknowledged. This work was supported in part by the National Science Foundation under Grunt CEE-8300928.
PY - 1984/6
Y1 - 1984/6
N2 - Inspections and safety assessments are germane elements of proper dam maintenance programs. To aid geotechnical engineers and/or dam owners in developing such programs, a Bayesian methodology is presented. It offers four main features: (1) the engineer can formally combine his judgment based on expertise with factual information obtained from geotechnical tests, (2) uncertainty about the state of the dam can be quantified explicitly, (3) the owner can specify the desired risk preference, and (4) an optimal geotechnical test plan and remedial action can be determined so as to take account of uncertainty, risk preference, and economic losses. The methodology is illustrated by a case study of an earth dam.
AB - Inspections and safety assessments are germane elements of proper dam maintenance programs. To aid geotechnical engineers and/or dam owners in developing such programs, a Bayesian methodology is presented. It offers four main features: (1) the engineer can formally combine his judgment based on expertise with factual information obtained from geotechnical tests, (2) uncertainty about the state of the dam can be quantified explicitly, (3) the owner can specify the desired risk preference, and (4) an optimal geotechnical test plan and remedial action can be determined so as to take account of uncertainty, risk preference, and economic losses. The methodology is illustrated by a case study of an earth dam.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=48549110321&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=48549110321&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/0096-3003(84)90008-0
DO - 10.1016/0096-3003(84)90008-0
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:48549110321
SN - 0096-3003
VL - 14
SP - 357
EP - 380
JO - Applied Mathematics and Computation
JF - Applied Mathematics and Computation
IS - 4
ER -