Abstract
We develop confidence intervals (CIs) for quantiles when applying variance-reduction techniques (VRTs) and sectioning. Similar to batching, sectioning partitions the independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) outputs into nonoverlapping batches and computes a quantile estimator from each batch. But rather than centering the CI at the average of the quantile estimators across the batches, as in batching, sectioning centers the CI at the overall quantile estimator based on all the outputs. A similar modification is made to the sample variance, which is used to determine the width of the CI. We establish the asymptotic validity of the sectioning CI for importance sampling and control variates, and the proofs rely on first showing that the corresponding quantile estimators satisfy a Bahadur representation, which we have done in prior work. Here, we present some numerical results.
Original language | English (US) |
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Article number | 19 |
Journal | ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation |
Volume | 24 |
Issue number | 4 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Aug 1 2014 |
All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes
- Modeling and Simulation
- Computer Science Applications
Keywords
- Control variates
- Importance sampling
- Quantile
- Value-at-risk
- Variance reduction