Do Global Uncertainty Factors Matter More to Cryptocurrency?

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Abstract

This study examines the intricate relationships between cryptocurrency and various uncertainties related to economic policy and global risk factors. It explores the interactions between cryptocurrency and global risk factors, comparing these with their relationships to different measures of economic policy uncertainty (EPU). We find that cryptocurrency returns are more sensitive to global risk factors than to the country-level EPU. Notably, gold exhibits bidirectional causality with cryptocurrency in returns and volatility. The research sheds light on the dynamic interactions within cryptocurrency markets, underscoring the importance of continuous monitoring and adaptive strategies to navigate the evolving financial landscape of the digital ecosystem.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article number628
JournalJournal of Risk and Financial Management
Volume18
Issue number11
DOIs
StatePublished - Nov 2025

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Accounting
  • Business, Management and Accounting (miscellaneous)
  • Finance
  • Economics and Econometrics

Keywords

  • EPU
  • Mackey–Glass model
  • bivariate full BEKK-GARCH
  • cryptocurrency

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