Abstract
In this paper, we report on an empirical experiment where we observe, record and analyze the evolution of selected operating systems over the past decades, and derive a statistical model that captures relevant evolutionary laws. This model is derived by quantifying relevant attributes of operating systems, including intrinsic technical factors and time-dependent environmental factors. We use this model to understand past evolution and learn to predict future evolution, not only of individual operating systems, but also of operating systems features. We combine the insights gained from this study with insights gained from other similar empirical experiments to attempt to derive evolutionary laws for software technology trends.
Original language | English (US) |
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Pages (from-to) | 1-15 |
Number of pages | 15 |
Journal | Journal of Systems and Software |
Volume | 80 |
Issue number | 1 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Jan 2007 |
All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes
- Software
- Information Systems
- Hardware and Architecture
Keywords
- BSD
- Compaq/DEC VMS
- GNU Hurd
- HP_UX
- IBM AIX
- Linux
- MAC OS
- MS-DOS
- Netware
- OS/2
- Operating systems
- Software Engineering Trends
- Solaris
- Sun/OS
- Tech Watch
- Unix
- Windows