TY - GEN
T1 - Neural Instrumented Factorization
T2 - 34th ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management, CIKM 2025
AU - Uddin, Ajim
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 Copyright held by the owner/author(s).
PY - 2025/11/10
Y1 - 2025/11/10
N2 - Asset pricing theory rests on the principle that differences in expected returns across assets are driven by their exposures to systematic risk factors. Identifying the ''right'' factors-whether observable or latent-remains a central challenge in empirical finance. Traditional latent factor models offer a parsimonious framework for summarizing information from hundreds of observable firm characteristics; however, they are typically estimated solely from return matrices, which limits their ability to capture time-varying, firm-specific dynamics. This study proposes a novel framework - -Neural Instrumented Factorization (NeurIF) - -that leverages firm characteristics as instruments to learn economically meaningful and time-varying latent factors. NeurIF integrates spatial and temporal attention mechanism to capture nonlinear relationships between firm characteristics and asset returns, jointly learning both the latent factors and their dynamic loadings. The model incorporates orthogonality constraints and deviation-based penalties to ensure the interpretability and alignment of latent factors with observed firm characteristics. Empirical evaluations on real-world asset pricing data reveal that NeurIF consistently outperforms several state-of-the-art transformer based models in return prediction, with improvements ranging from 1% to 18% in test data. Furthermore, the learned factor loadings can generate statistically significant long-short portfolio returns and are not subsumed by other observable factors. The embedded latent factors also exhibit strong explanatory power across several cross-sectional asset pricing anomalies, highlighting their economic relevance and robustness.
AB - Asset pricing theory rests on the principle that differences in expected returns across assets are driven by their exposures to systematic risk factors. Identifying the ''right'' factors-whether observable or latent-remains a central challenge in empirical finance. Traditional latent factor models offer a parsimonious framework for summarizing information from hundreds of observable firm characteristics; however, they are typically estimated solely from return matrices, which limits their ability to capture time-varying, firm-specific dynamics. This study proposes a novel framework - -Neural Instrumented Factorization (NeurIF) - -that leverages firm characteristics as instruments to learn economically meaningful and time-varying latent factors. NeurIF integrates spatial and temporal attention mechanism to capture nonlinear relationships between firm characteristics and asset returns, jointly learning both the latent factors and their dynamic loadings. The model incorporates orthogonality constraints and deviation-based penalties to ensure the interpretability and alignment of latent factors with observed firm characteristics. Empirical evaluations on real-world asset pricing data reveal that NeurIF consistently outperforms several state-of-the-art transformer based models in return prediction, with improvements ranging from 1% to 18% in test data. Furthermore, the learned factor loadings can generate statistically significant long-short portfolio returns and are not subsumed by other observable factors. The embedded latent factors also exhibit strong explanatory power across several cross-sectional asset pricing anomalies, highlighting their economic relevance and robustness.
KW - asset pricing
KW - finance
KW - latent factor model
KW - stock return prediction
KW - transformer
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105023161676
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105023161676#tab=citedBy
U2 - 10.1145/3746252.3761049
DO - 10.1145/3746252.3761049
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:105023161676
T3 - CIKM 2025 - Proceedings of the 34th ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management
SP - 2915
EP - 2924
BT - CIKM 2025 - Proceedings of the 34th ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management
PB - Association for Computing Machinery, Inc
Y2 - 10 November 2025 through 14 November 2025
ER -