Robustness and limitations of maximum entropy in plant community assembly

Jelyn Gerkema, Daniel E. Bunker, Andrew M. Cunliffe, Erika Bazzato, Michela Marignani, Tommaso Sitzia, Isabelle Aubin, Stefano Chelli, Julieta A. Rosell, Peter Poschlod, Josep Penuelas, Arildo S. Dias, Christian Rossi, Tanvir A. Shovon, Juan A. Campos, Mark C. Vanderwel, Sharif A. Mukul, Bruno E.L. Cerabolini, Thomas Sibret, Bruno HéraultSylvain Schmitt, Pedro Higuchi, James L. Tsakalos, Decky I. Junaedi, Yun Peng Zhao, Vanessa Minden, Ana Carolina da Silva, Tereza Mašková, Roberto Canullo, Ning Dong, Edwin T. Pos

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

An in-depth understanding of local plant community assembly is critical to direct conservation efforts to promising areas and increase the efficiency of management strategies. This, however, remains elusive due to the sheer complexity of ecological processes. The maximum entropy-based Community Assembly via Trait Selection (CATS) model was designed to quantify the relative contributions of trait-based filtering, dispersal mass effects, and stochastic processes on community assembly. As a maximum entropy model, it does so without introducing additional bias or assumptions. Despite its increasing use, questions regarding its robustness and potential limitations remain. Here, we compared model predictions using either local or database-derived trait values, across different levels of species richness and between different taxonomic levels. A total of 19 datasets and 790 plots were analysed, spanning multiple habitat types (n = 18) and biomes (n = 7). Results indicate trait value origin does indeed influence model outcomes, warranting caution in selecting the method for obtaining trait data. We hypothesise that, for example, intraspecific trait variation combined with trait-based filtering or stochastic processes causes local and database trait values to deviate, potentially even further exacerbated by imputing missing trait data. Furthermore, trait-related information obtained from the model decreased with increasing species richness. We further hypothesise this could signal that stochastic processes are more dominant within species-rich systems, for example, due to functional redundancy or the existence of multiple fitness strategies. This general pattern was conserved across biomes, although with varying strength, showing CATS’ robustness despite these challenges.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Article number103031
JournalEcological Informatics
Volume86
DOIs
StatePublished - May 2025

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics
  • Ecology
  • Modeling and Simulation
  • Ecological Modeling
  • Computer Science Applications
  • Computational Theory and Mathematics
  • Applied Mathematics

Keywords

  • Community assembly
  • Dispersal mass effects
  • Maximum entropy
  • Plant ecology
  • Trait-based filtering

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