Vulnerability assessment of cotton to hail in china based on historical records, field investigation and ground experiments

Yaojie Yue, Jintao Zhao, Jing'ai Wang, Yuanyuanm Yin, Xinyue Ye, Xiaoyun Huang

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaperpeer-review

Abstract

This article constructs an integrated methodology for cotton vulnerability assessment by incorporating the Historical Yield Loss Records, and conducting Field Investigation and Ground Experiments (HiReFiGe). By taking hail intensity and the bolls loss as key indices, this research got four vulnerability curves of cotton at different growth stages of seedling, bud, boll, and boll opening stages respectively. Results indicate that the vulnerability of cotton to hail varies at different growing stages, which are highest in stage of seedling and the bell, followed by the bud stage and the boll opening stage. Therefore, the seedling and boll stages are the key period for cotton hail disaster mitigation and risk governance. At national scale, with the increase of loss rates, the occurrence probability reduces gradually. The highest probability areas are the eastern part of Shanxi, Aksu of Xinjiang Autonomous region, indicating that these regions are highest hail disaster risk area for cotton, where should be paid more attention to cotton hail hazard prevention. This research presents an integrated approach to evaluate the cotton vulnerability to hail, which can be a scientific reference for cotton insurers and the local governmental decision-makers.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages776-779
Number of pages4
StatePublished - 2012
Externally publishedYes
Event4th International Disaster and Risk Conference: Integrative Risk Management in a Changing World - Pathways to a Resilient Society, IDRC Davos 2012 - Davos, Switzerland
Duration: Aug 26 2012Aug 30 2012

Conference

Conference4th International Disaster and Risk Conference: Integrative Risk Management in a Changing World - Pathways to a Resilient Society, IDRC Davos 2012
Country/TerritorySwitzerland
CityDavos
Period8/26/128/30/12

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality

Keywords

  • Cotton loss
  • Growing stages
  • Hail hazard intensity
  • HiReFiGe methodology
  • Vulnerability

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